Non-linearity; factoring in complexity

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Step 1 Select a dimension of ex/inclusion Open

Selected: Dynamic

Exclusion is dynamic as both a process and a status.  Exclusion as a process is about the developments that push individuals towards the margins of a given society. These exclusionary dynamics are highly time- and space-specific; they progress in different ways, are experienced at different degrees and with different intensity, and operate at different social levels. As a status, exclusion reflects the outcomes of that process. The fact that an individual has reached the end point of such a trajectory does not mean that there can be no further movement along the inclusion/exclusion continuum. 

 

Take the example of marginalization associated with stigmatising conditions such as HIV/AIDS. Their exclusionary power differs highly from place to place (e.g., between South Africa and the USA), between socio-economic and ethnic groups, and across time (e.g., consider the status of HIV-positive people three decades ago and today).

 

Three inclusive policy markers can assist with diagnosing and addressing such dynamics.

 

Step 2 Select an Inclusive Policy Marker Open

Selected: Long-term and anticipatory character

Timing is of the essence in inclusive interventions. They require a long-term view of the change and anticipatory policy-making that takes, however, full account of limited capacity to predict trends and outcomes. Two design keys help in this regard. 

Step 3 Select a Policy Design Consideration

Selected: Non-linearity; factoring in complexity

 

Moving towards inclusive development, especially in the cases of well-established patterns of exclusion, requires long-term and multi-pronged interventions. Depending on the scope, this can be the result of complex emergent processes that involve a variety of different kinds of intervention. One of these avenues involves finding more effective ways to detect and act on non-linear and unexpected change. Introducing new social science methods into policy development, monitoring and evaluation systems in order to take advantage of complexity may prove to be an important ingredient for efforts to overcome exclusion and inequality.

 

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